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← A Level Mathematics

A Level · English Medium · Cambridge · Mathematics

Data, probability and written reasoning

Use binomial and transformed-variable models with explained assumptions.

About this lesson and its coverage

Original Kidemy A Level progression. This level has its own text, examples and questions. Curriculum versions share the progression; complete board-specific coverage still needs specification matching and additional material.

Learn the idea

A binomial count uses independent trials with fixed success probability. Its mean np is the model’s repeated-batch average; variance np(1−p) is squared spread about that average. A transformation Y=aX+b changes variance by a², because deviations are scaled by a.

Worked example

For X~Bin(8,0.5), mean4 and variance2. If Y=3X+1, mean13 and variance18; this describes model averages and variability, not guaranteed outcomes.

  1. Identify the quantities and restrictions.
  2. Show a method with units or symbols.
  3. Check and explain the result.

Your written practice

Show your working on paper. Check your answer, then choose Next.

Show model answer and explanation

4

np=20×0.2.

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3.2

20×0.2×0.8.

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12.8

4×3.2.

Write in your own words. A guardian or teacher should review this response.

Show model answer and explanation

C(4,1)(1/2)^4=4/16=1/4.

Count the possible head positions.

Write in your own words. A guardian or teacher should review this response.

Show model answer and explanation

The product probabilities rely on independence; dependence changes probabilities of count patterns.

Explain a mechanism such as linked outcomes.

Progress and browser storage

Notebook challenge, sources and further study

Apply the idea

Build a count model and a transformed score, interpreting mean and variance in context.

Review with a guardian or teacher

  • Use the stated evidence or givens.
  • Show reasoning rather than only a result.
  • Review and explain one correction.

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